In his final year at Texas, Charlie Strong predicted that whoever was coaching the Longhorns in 2017 would be leading a 10-win team. After Monday, those 10 wins aren’t as easy for Tom Herman to find.
Thanks to USC and Oklahoma’s wins in the Rose and Sugar Bowls on Monday, Texas’ 2017 schedule now features five teams that won bowl games. Kansas State (Texas Bowl), Oklahoma State (Alamo Bowl) and Baylor (Cactus Bowl) are annual appointments in Texas’ datebook, and the Longhorns must actually play those five aforementioned bowl winners within a six-game stretch.
Assuming OU holds on, Longhorns play winners of Rose, Texas, Sugar, Alamo and Cactus Bowls within 6-game span in 2017. Welcome, Tom Herman.
— Danny Davis (@aasdanny) January 3, 2017
Three of the remaining games on Texas’ schedule are against Maryland, TCU and West Virginia programs that were beaten in their bowl games. The presence of San Jose State, Iowa State, Kansas and Texas Tech will drag down the strength of schedule, but the 12 teams that play Texas in 2017 combined for an 83-69 (.546 winning percentage) record during the 2016 season.
The rosters of the 12 teams on Texas’ 2017 schedule will change between now and the opener against Maryland on Sept. 2, but the pedigrees won’t. So is this the toughest schedule the Longhorns have seen in a while? On paper, it may actually be the Longhorns’ lightest schedule since 2013.
Excluding bowl opponents, here are the prior-year records that Texas encountered during its last five seasons:
- 2016: 89-64 (.582)
- 2015: 84-68 (.553)
- 2014: 89-63 (.586)
- 2013: 82-72 (.532)
- 2012: 87-65 (.572)
If we’re going off 2016 records, the strength of Texas’ 2017 schedule will rank in a tie for third in the Big 12:
- Texas Tech: 96-58 (.623)
- Iowa State: 83-67 (.553)
- Texas: 83-69 (.546)
- Kansas: 83-69 (.546)
- Oklahoma State: 82-70 (.539)
- Kansas State: 79-72 (.523)
- TCU: 77-72 (.517)
- Baylor: 77-72 (.517)
- Oklahoma: 76-74 (.507)
- West Virginia: 71-79 (.473)
* Texas, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State are the only Big 12 teams with nothing but FBS-level schools on their 2017 schedules.
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