Texas's Isaiah Taylor celebrates a three-point play against West Virginia during the NCAA men's college basketball game at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Tex., Tuesday, Feb 16, 2016. RICARDO B. BRAZZIELL/AMERICAN-STATESMAN

BEVO BEAT Men's Basketball

So you’re saying there’s a chance? Texas’ probability to win title not great, reports FiveThirtyEight

Posted March 14th, 2016


Nate Silver’s statistical analytical website FiveThirtyEight, a byproduct of ESPN, has done the math and is predicting  who is going to win the 2016  NCAA National Championship.

The brackets were revealed on Sunday and Silver and his team went to work.

The results aren’t great for those Texas fans booking Final Four hotel rooms in Houston. The site gives Texas less than a 1 percent chance to win the national championship and just a 6 percent chance to reach the Final Four.


Texas, a sixth-seed, has a 70 percent chance to beat first round opponent Northern Iowa on Friday, the site predicts, but the Panthers’ odds of winning the whole thing are equal to the Longhorns.

Texas’ Big 12 rival Kansas, the 12-time defending Big 12 champion and reigning Big 12 Tournament champion, has the best odds at 19 percent, beating out North Carolina’s 15 percent.

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