It’s premature to say as fact, but all indications are Texas’ season will be over after this weekend.
Though several bowl games are searching for 5-7 teams to fill slots, Texas is unlikely to be in the discussion after the NCAA announced Monday that APR scores will be used to break ties.
Texas’ most recent four-year score is 958, which is below scores posted by seven 5-7 teams — Nebraska (985), Missouri (976), Kansas State (976), Minnesota (975), San Jose State (975), Illinois (973) and Rice (973).
Missouri, which is without a head coach after Gary Pinkel retired, announced on Monday that it will not accept a bowl invitation. Currently, there are 75 bowl-eligible teams to fill 80 bowls. As few as two and as many as five 5-7 teams could get bids.
On Monday, the NCAA issued a release saying its oversight committee will create a pool of five-win teams from which bowls can select. It is unclear what APR standard needs to be met to qualify for that pool.
APR is not the only force working against Texas. The Horns have yet to even reach five wins and can get there only with a win against Baylor, which is a 21-point favorite in Saturday’s meeting in Waco.
Asked Monday prior to the NCAA’s ruling about a 5-7 bowl bid, Texas coach Charlie Strong didn’t have much to say.
“We just gotta make sure we go beat Baylor and get this out of the way,” he said.