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AFC Divisional Round: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Esten McLaren
Sportsbook Wire

The Buffalo Bills (14-3) host the Baltimore Ravens (12-5) in the AFC Divisional Round Saturday night at Bills Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. ET as the second game of the day. Below, we preview the Ravens-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Also see:Ravens-Bills prop bet predictions

Ravens at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Ravens +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Bills -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Ravens +3 (-115) | Bills -3 (-105)
  • Over/Under : 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ravens at Bills: Game notes

  • The Bills entered the NFL playoffs on a six-game winning streak and survived a late scare to top the Indianapolis Colts 27-24 last week at Bills Stadium. QB Josh Allen threw for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception.
  • The Ravens hit the postseason on a five-game winning streak and dropped the AFC South champion Tennessee Titans 20-13 on the road in the AFC Wild Card Round.
  • QB Lamar Jackson got his first playoff win under his best while going 17-for-24 through the air for 179 yards and 1 interception with no TDs. He ran for a game-high 136 yards and a score on 16 attempts.
  • Jackson, born in Pompano Beach, Fla., and having gone to college at Louisville, spoke this week and said he hopes it doesn't snow Saturday in Orchard Park, N.Y. The early weather forecast calls for temperatures just above freezing.
  • Allen and Jackson, the No. 7 and 32 picks, respectively, of the 2018 NFL Draft, have started against each other just once. The Ravens beat the Bills 24-17 in Buffalo in Week 14 of last season. Jackson threw for 145 yards and 3 TDs with 1 INT. Allen went 17-for-39 for 146 yards and a score.
  • The Bills were second in the NFL in ESPN's Team Pass Rush Win Rate. The Ravens were seventh by the same measure. The teams were fourth and eighth, respectively, in Pass Block Win Rate. Jackson took 29 sacks in 15 regular-season games to Allen's 26 in 16 games.
  • There are expected to be approximately 6,700 fans allowed in attendance at Bills Stadium.

Ravens at Bills: Key injuries

Ravens

  • OT D.J. Fluker (knee) questionable
  • CB Marcus Peters (back) questionable

Bills

  • DE Darryl Johnson (knee) questionable

Ravens at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ravens 27, Bills 26

Money line ( ?)

Take the RAVENS (+130) as plus-money underdogs. The Bills' loss of Moss to injury will have a big impact with RB Devin Singletary now the only viable option in the backfield. Baltimore eliminated Titans RB Derrick Henry from Tennessee's gameplan in last week's win.

These are two of the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL but a decisive advantage goes to the reigning MVP in Jackson. Baltimore also gets the edge defensively with just 5.9 yards allowed per pass attempt this season to rank second in the NFL.

Against the spread ( ?)

The 2.5-point line hasn't moved since opening earlier in the week. Since we're taking the RAVENS +3 (-115) for the outright upset, add the two points of insurance in what's sure to be a tight-scoring game.

Over/Under ( ?)

Even though Jackson has spoken on his wishes for a snow-free night in Buffalo, the cold weather could force him to run more than pass, and that's been a bad recipe for opposing teams over the last couple of seasons.

The Bills are 11-5-1 against the O/U and have scored at least 26 points in each of their last nine games. Take the OVER 49.5 (-110) on the second-lowest point projection of the weekend.

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