BEVO BEAT

Vegas tough on Texas

Posted June 20th, 2014

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A Vegas casino has dealt Texas football a pair of sixes.

Golden Nugget, calling for as many Longhorns wins as losses, is tougher on Charlie Strong’s team than most prognosticators. It likes Texas to lose a bunch of toss ups, labeling the ‘Horns an underdog in neutral site contests against UCLA (+8) and Oklahoma (+9), and at home against Baylor (+3). Texas is a narrow road dog at Kansas State (+3.5), Texas Tech (+1) and Oklahoma State (+2).

Odds came out this week, with Golden Nugget applying them only to what it considers “games of the year.” Expected Texas routs over North Texas, Kansas, and Iowa State didn’t make the cut. The Longhorns got the edge in home games against BYU (-6), West Virginia (-13), and TCU (-9.5).

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Viewing each game in a vaccuum, the casino likes Texas to win six. It should be noted that this is not the same as listing over/under of wins, which Golden Nugget did not do. Another sports book, 5dimes, set Texas’ bar at 8.5 wins – a higher mark than all but 14 teams.

Various sites list Texas’ odds of winning the national championship at +5000. So wager $100 and when the Longhorns win the inaugural four-team playoff you’ll pocket $5000. But that’s not a safe play; Strong already cautioned it wouldn’t happen.

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